How Rotherham are on course to reach the League One play-offs this season

Rotherham are on course to reach the Sky Bet League One play-offs this season, according to data from the last 20 years.

The Millers currently occupy sixth place in the table with 17 games to go, putting themselves in the frame for an instant return to the Championship.

 

They have accrued 47 points from their 29 league games at a points per game (PPG) ratio of 1.62.

If they are to continue at that ratio for their remaining matches then they will end the campaign with 76 points.

And that should be enough to secure a top-six berth – and a place in the play-offs, according to historical data.

74.6 – The average points total of teams finishing in sixth in the third tier over the last 20 years

Over the last 20 years in the third tier – both as League One and Division Two – the average points total of teams finishing in sixth position is 74.6.

In those two decades 76 points has not been enough to make it into sixth place on just four occasions.

The highest total required to make it was Stoke’s 82 in 1999-00 whereas Chesterfield’s 69 is the lowest tally in 2014-15.

 

Millwall snuck in on the final day last season with 73 points and Barnsley did it the previous year with 74.

So, the situation looks simple. Continue winning points at the same rate as they have done and the play-offs beckon for the Millers.

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